— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

VST NYSE

Vistra Corp.
1W: +5.0% 1M: -4.3% 3M: -13.0% YTD: -9.8% 1Y: -4.8% 3Y: +533.5% 5Y: +902.5%
$156.27
+7.19 (+4.82%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.1%
$123 $131 $140 $148 $157
NYSE · Utilities · Independent Power Producers · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 45 · $52.7B mcap · 314M float · 1.49% daily turnover · Short 32% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
42.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 1.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 3.7%
Cost Advantage
41
Intangibles
33
Switching Cost
28
Network Effect
45
Scale ★
80
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. VST shows a Weak competitive edge (42.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 1.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$190
Low
$201
Avg Target
$212
High
Based on 2 analysts since May 7, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 20Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$211.80
Analysts5
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-21 Morgan Stanley $208 $212 +4 +42.8% $148.51
2026-05-21 Jefferies Julien Dumoulin-Smith $203 $190 -13 +31.9% $144.00
2026-04-27 Raymond James Initiated $208 +27.1% $163.61
2026-04-21 Morgan Stanley David Arcaro $215 $208 -7 +33.1% $156.31
2026-03-02 BMO Capital James Thalacker $244 $241 -3 +39.8% $172.43
2026-02-20 Morgan Stanley David Arcaro $227 $215 -12 +25.4% $171.40
2026-02-10 Jefferies Julien Dumoulin-Smith $241 $203 -38 +32.7% $152.97
2026-02-06 Goldman Sachs Carly Davenport $134 $205 +71 +43.3% $143.07
2026-01-21 Morgan Stanley $228 $227 -1 +45.0% $156.59
2026-01-20 Wells Fargo Shahriar Pourreza $238 $236 -2 +41.7% $166.60
2026-01-12 Scotiabank Andrew Weisel $256 $293 +37 +66.2% $176.29
2026-01-12 UBS William Appicelli Initiated $233 +33.5% $174.57
2026-01-12 BMO Capital James Thalacker $230 $244 +14 +46.7% $166.37
2026-01-06 Seaport Global $242 $232 -10 +39.1% $166.80
2026-01-06 BMO Capital James Thalacker $236 $230 -6 +41.2% $162.93
2025-12-16 Morgan Stanley David Arcaro $225 $228 +3 +32.0% $172.72
2025-11-24 KeyBanc Initiated $217 +23.9% $175.14
2025-11-20 Morgan Stanley $223 $225 +2 +27.6% $176.40
2025-10-27 Wells Fargo Initiated $238 +19.4% $199.30
2025-10-08 Seaport Global $116 $242 +126 +19.4% $202.72
2025-10-03 BMO Capital James Thalacker $229 $236 +7 +16.6% $202.41
2025-09-25 Morgan Stanley $207 $223 +16 +10.6% $201.62
2025-09-22 Scotiabank Andrew Weisel Initiated $256 +17.5% $217.92
2025-09-17 Daiwa $120 $250 +130 +20.0% $208.31
2025-08-21 Morgan Stanley David Arcaro $132 $207 +75 +8.8% $190.28
2025-08-12 BMO Capital James Thalacker $125 $229 +104 +9.8% $208.64
2025-08-08 Jefferies Julien Dumoulin-Smith $137 $241 +104 +19.2% $202.12
2025-05-15 Evercore ISI Durgesh Chopra Initiated $192 +26.3% $152.06
2025-04-04 Goldman Sachs Initiated $134 +36.6% $98.07
2025-03-05 Daiwa Initiated $120 -5.4% $126.87
2024-10-03 RBC Capital Shelby Tucker $95 $141 +46 +6.5% $132.45
2024-09-23 Jefferies Julien Dumoulin-Smith $99 $137 +38 +22.7% $111.63
2024-09-23 Morgan Stanley David Arcaro $110 $132 +22 +22.4% $107.88
2024-09-19 BMO Capital James Thalacker $120 $125 +5 +36.3% $91.73
2024-09-12 Jefferies Julien Dumoulin-Smith Initiated $99 +23.0% $80.47
2024-08-09 BMO Capital James Thalacker $121 $120 -1 +51.7% $79.08
2024-06-13 Seaport Global Angie Storozynski Initiated $116 +31.2% $88.40
2024-06-03 BMO Capital James Thalacker $109 $121 +12 +29.5% $93.45
2024-05-28 Morgan Stanley David Arcaro $31 $110 +79 +3.9% $105.92
2024-05-10 BMO Capital James Thalacker Initiated $109 +14.4% $95.25
2024-05-07 RBC Capital Shelby Tucker Initiated $95 +14.1% $83.24
2022-11-11 Morgan Stanley Initiated $31 +28.7% $24.09

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. VST receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-12 B+ B-
2026-05-11 B B+
2026-05-08 C B
2026-05-07 C+ C
2026-03-06 B- C+
2026-03-05 B B-
2026-03-03 B+ B
2026-03-02 A- B+
2026-02-27 B A-
2026-02-06 B- B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

24 Grade C
Profitability
56
Balance Sheet
24
Earnings Quality
73
Growth
17
Value
42
Momentum
50
Safety
30
Cash Flow
33
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. VST scores highest in Earnings Quality (73/100) and lowest in Growth (17/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.36
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.34
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.14
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 37.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.08x
Accruals: -6.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. VST scores 1.36, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. VST scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. VST's score of -2.34 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. VST's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. VST receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 37.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). VST's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
23.70x
PEG
-3.43x
P/S
3.25x
P/B
9.49x
P/FCF
52.93x
P/OCF
10.94x
EV/EBITDA
12.77x
EV/Revenue
4.36x
EV/EBIT
27.47x
EV/FCF
73.22x
Earnings Yield
4.39%
FCF Yield
1.89%
Shareholder Yield
1.03%
Graham Number
$47.24
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 23.7x earnings, VST commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $47.24 per share, 231% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.806
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.080
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.159
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.409
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.427
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
42.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. VST's ROE of 42.0% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.43x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$56.06
Price/Value
2.68x
Margin of Safety
-168.17%
Premium
168.17%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with VST's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. VST trades at a 168% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $56.06, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 23.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$156.27
Median 1Y
$183.79
5th Pctile
$85.70
95th Pctile
$396.43
Ann. Volatility
47.2%
Analyst Target
$211.80
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
James A. Burke
President and Chief Executive Officer
$1,391,731 $11,433,561 $15,989,188
Stacey Doré Strategy
rategy and Sustainability Officer & EVP Public Affairs
$654,722 $5,197,048 $6,757,520
Kristopher E. Moldovan
EVP and Chief Financial Officer
$665,148 $5,197,048 $6,709,289
Scott A. Hudson
EVP and President Vistra Retail
$649,995 $2,598,524 $4,129,002
Stephanie Zapata Moore
EVP, General Counsel, and Chief Compliance Officer
$604,773 $1,818,860 $3,170,883

CEO Pay Ratio

62:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $15,989,188
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $256,495
Employees: 6,390

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
6,390
-6.7% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$2,656,025
Rev: $16,972,000,000
Profit / Employee
$147,731
NI: $944,000,000
SGA / Employee
$256,495
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -19.5% -24.8% -15.3% 5.8% -11.0% -3.1% -18.6% -3.7% 24.2% 21.7% 29.2% 14.9% 12.7% 39.8% 48.9% 44.6% 43.9% 21.2% 17.7% 42.0% 41.97%
ROA -6.1% -7.8% -4.6% 1.8% -3.3% -0.9% -3.9% -0.8% 5.1% 4.6% 4.5% 2.3% 2.0% 6.2% 7.5% 6.9% 6.8% 3.3% 2.4% 5.7% 5.65%
ROIC -7.5% -7.9% -4.3% 13.9% 9.7% 14.0% 8.5% 10.2% 11.8% 13.0% 17.7% 12.8% 12.2% 13.3% 23.2% 29.1% 29.3% 28.5% 3.3% 1.1% 1.10%
ROCE -6.9% -9.5% -4.7% 4.4% -2.6% 1.2% -3.1% 2.6% 13.1% 12.2% 11.9% 8.3% 8.8% 16.5% 15.5% 14.2% 12.3% 7.2% 6.3% 8.6% 8.65%
Gross Margin 16.8% 24.9% 31.0% 18.6% 14.0% 34.6% -3.2% 29.1% 29.3% 43.4% 25.9% 4.7% 26.2% 42.9% 57.3% 29.8% 22.0% 29.9% -55.6% 20.3% 20.26%
Operating Margin 7.6% 18.0% 23.5% 10.9% 6.7% 29.0% -10.2% 21.5% 20.1% 37.0% 15.8% -6.7% 16.7% 35.9% 51.8% 22.6% 12.1% 21.0% -74.8% 11.3% 11.32%
Net Margin 1.3% 0.2% 20.8% -7.2% -36.2% 11.5% -5.7% 18.6% 14.9% 9.6% -5.4% -1.3% 9.9% 34.1% 6.0% -5.2% 7.7% 13.1% 10.0% 22.1% 22.11%
EBITDA Margin 18.5% 18.8% 44.3% 7.6% -29.1% 27.1% 12.8% 40.4% 38.5% 26.1% 15.1% 27.6% 40.7% 60.6% 21.2% 11.6% 26.3% 37.6% 55.8% 26.8% 26.75%
FCF Margin -2.1% -5.8% -9.3% 5.8% -6.4% -4.5% -4.6% -0.5% 15.3% 20.1% 24.3% 17.4% 14.0% 12.3% 12.1% 11.3% 7.4% 7.6% 3.8% 6.0% 5.95%
OCF Margin 8.2% 4.0% -1.6% 14.4% 0.8% 2.2% 2.7% 7.5% 24.7% 30.2% 35.1% 29.7% 26.2% 26.6% 23.5% 22.3% 18.9% 18.3% 24.3% 28.8% 28.80%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 33.90%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 20.51%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.71%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.73%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.08%
Cash ROA snapshot only 11.24%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 18.92%
CROIC snapshot only 3.91%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.67%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 17.14%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 10.65%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.07%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -5.19 -3.77 -7.79 20.32 -10.10 -32.57 -7.09 -36.85 6.04 8.46 8.94 31.68 46.64 20.29 17.54 16.41 27.52 57.79 58.07 22.79 23.695
P/S Ratio 0.70 0.62 0.75 0.70 0.61 0.49 0.49 0.51 0.56 0.74 0.86 1.65 2.00 2.68 2.41 1.83 2.94 3.06 3.28 3.15 3.250
P/B Ratio 0.99 0.91 1.20 1.19 1.12 1.01 1.78 1.83 1.97 2.47 2.52 4.53 5.69 7.78 8.38 7.15 11.80 11.95 10.73 10.00 9.487
P/FCF -33.64 -10.66 -8.01 11.94 -9.53 -10.79 -10.67 -108.33 3.70 3.66 3.53 9.46 14.36 21.75 19.82 16.13 39.75 40.47 85.66 52.93 52.935
P/OCF 8.52 15.48 4.83 72.36 22.00 17.95 6.77 2.28 2.44 2.45 5.55 7.65 10.09 10.22 8.21 15.55 16.68 13.47 10.94 10.938
EV/EBITDA 40.91 -285.39 21.87 6.31 12.74 7.76 16.28 8.59 4.62 5.37 5.32 9.11 10.00 8.55 8.74 7.98 12.34 16.08 15.22 12.77 12.769
EV/Revenue 1.50 1.39 1.48 1.38 1.25 1.06 1.21 1.24 1.32 1.52 1.58 2.42 2.75 3.41 3.24 2.57 3.67 3.80 4.45 4.36 4.358
EV/EBIT -11.58 -8.10 -17.43 18.75 -30.86 63.45 -30.53 37.91 7.64 9.15 8.93 18.32 20.30 13.73 13.79 13.44 22.66 39.13 39.74 27.47 27.473
EV/FCF -72.17 -23.88 -15.83 23.69 -19.49 -23.31 -26.45 -263.52 8.64 7.55 6.50 13.87 19.68 27.65 26.69 22.68 49.54 50.30 116.25 73.22 73.224
Earnings Yield -19.2% -26.5% -12.8% 4.9% -9.9% -3.1% -14.1% -2.7% 16.6% 11.8% 11.2% 3.2% 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 6.1% 3.6% 1.7% 1.7% 4.4% 4.39%
FCF Yield -3.0% -9.4% -12.5% 8.4% -10.5% -9.3% -9.4% -0.9% 27.0% 27.4% 28.3% 10.6% 7.0% 4.6% 5.0% 6.2% 2.5% 2.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.89%
EV/OCF snapshot only 15.131
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 34.268
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 210.301
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.03%
Graham Number snapshot only $47.24
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.13 1.13 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.78 0.78 0.777
Quick Ratio 0.96 0.96 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.69 0.69 0.691
Debt/Equity 1.18 1.18 1.33 1.33 1.33 1.33 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.77 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.99 3.99 3.991
Net Debt/Equity 1.13 1.13 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 3.83 3.83 3.832
Debt/Assets 0.39 0.39 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.49 0.49 0.491
Debt/EBITDA 22.77 -164.73 12.27 3.56 7.40 4.74 10.06 5.24 2.74 2.87 3.18 3.80 3.55 2.39 2.42 2.47 2.62 3.37 4.17 3.69 3.685
Net Debt/EBITDA 21.84 -157.97 10.80 3.13 6.51 4.17 9.71 5.06 2.64 2.77 2.43 2.90 2.70 1.82 2.25 2.31 2.44 3.14 4.01 3.54 3.538
Interest Coverage -3.23 -4.28 -1.88 1.70 -0.95 0.43 -0.83 0.65 3.29 2.97 3.67 2.40 2.29 4.01 4.18 3.65 3.03 1.72 1.66 2.26 2.258
Equity Multiplier 3.01 3.01 3.58 3.58 3.58 3.58 6.69 6.69 6.69 6.69 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.21 6.78 6.78 6.78 6.78 8.13 8.13 8.131
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.069
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.859
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.040
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.047
Defensive Interval snapshot only 663.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.46 0.48 0.48 0.51 0.55 0.62 0.57 0.56 0.55 0.53 0.47 0.44 0.46 0.47 0.55 0.62 0.63 0.62 0.42 0.41 0.409
Inventory Turnover 25.28 26.47 23.49 19.29 20.99 22.52 24.93 23.98 22.32 20.87 15.84 15.84 16.55 16.88 13.67 14.80 15.49 15.87 14.17 14.25 14.251
Receivables Turnover 8.93 9.32 9.92 10.54 11.30 12.72 10.32 10.21 9.87 9.53 8.33 7.81 8.08 8.25 10.60 11.90 12.21 11.90 7.77 7.53 7.532
Payables Turnover 13.61 14.26 11.04 9.06 9.86 10.58 9.58 9.22 8.58 8.02 7.68 7.68 8.02 8.18 8.79 9.52 9.97 10.22 8.92 8.97 8.973
DSO 41 39 37 35 32 29 35 36 37 38 44 47 45 44 34 31 30 31 47 48 48.5 days
DIO 14 14 16 19 17 16 15 15 16 17 23 23 22 22 27 25 24 23 26 26 25.6 days
DPO 27 26 33 40 37 35 38 40 43 46 48 48 46 45 42 38 37 36 41 41 40.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 28 27 19 13 13 10 12 11 11 10 19 22 22 21 20 17 17 18 32 33 33.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.813
Operating Cycle snapshot only 74.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 19.869
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.563
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 1.6% 8.5% 20.0% 21.9% 28.1% 38.2% 34.4% 25.1% 12.8% -3.3% -12.9% -17.4% -11.6% -6.4% 24.7% 49.2% 48.0% 41.2% -13.7% -25.5% -25.47%
Net Income -3.8% -3.3% -3.0% 1.3% 42.4% 87.4% 3.6% -1.5% 2.7% 6.6% 2.2% 4.1% -59.4% 42.1% 78.1% 2.2% 2.7% -43.4% -64.5% -7.6% -7.63%
EPS -3.8% -3.3% -3.1% 1.4% 34.6% 85.4% -15.6% -1.6% 3.0% 7.3% 2.4% 4.5% -56.9% 51.0% 84.2% 2.3% 2.8% -41.6% -64.5% -7.6% -7.63%
FCF -1.1% -1.3% -1.6% 15.2% -3.0% -7.8% 34.1% -1.1% 3.7% 5.3% 5.6% 31.6% -19.2% -42.7% -37.7% -2.9% -21.5% -13.3% -72.8% -60.9% -60.92%
EBITDA -86.3% -1.0% -73.3% 2.9% 2.4% 39.7% 47.8% -17.7% 2.3% 1.0% 2.5% 52.0% -14.9% 32.0% 55.8% 81.4% 60.1% -16.2% -32.0% -21.1% -21.12%
Op. Income -1.9% -2.0% -1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 2.8% 2.9% 6.2% 21.9% -7.8% 1.0% 26.7% 7.5% 0.6% 59.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% -84.3% -95.6% -95.57%
OCF Growth snapshot only -3.71%
Asset Growth snapshot only 10.01%
Equity Growth snapshot only -8.26%
Debt Growth snapshot only 17.46%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -2.57%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 21.2% 13.2% 9.7% 6.9% 10.1% 14.1% 15.7% 15.7% 13.7% 13.2% 12.0% 8.0% 8.5% 7.7% 13.4% 15.5% 13.8% 8.5% -2.1% -2.8% -2.77%
Revenue 5Y 59.5% 41.7% 32.0% 25.6% 27.1% 26.7% 20.8% 14.1% 9.1% 4.8% 5.9% 6.1% 11.0% 13.8% 13.9% 13.9% 8.6% 7.0% 6.97%
EPS 3Y 4.6% 54.0% 28.1% 48.4% 88.2%
EPS 5Y 18.3% 5.1% 41.4% 32.7% 35.8% 43.4% 13.1% 16.4%
Net Income 3Y 0.5% 41.1% 16.8% 32.9% 71.1%
Net Income 5Y 9.7% -2.2% 32.0% 23.4% 26.2% 33.2% 5.1% 8.2%
EBITDA 3Y -28.2% -22.0% 2.3% -22.8% -5.8% -27.2% -8.1% 15.4% 8.2% 11.1% 69.4% 1.1% 1.0% 31.4% 64.6% 30.4% 54.5% 29.6% 29.55%
EBITDA 5Y 54.8% 44.0% 15.3% 9.3% -0.0% 27.2% 32.9% 23.9% 19.5% 6.0% 5.1% 17.2% 15.9% 16.5% 15.9% 7.0% 7.8% 47.4% 47.41%
Gross Profit 3Y -70.2% 9.5% 11.5% 21.5% 6.9% 8.7% 10.8% 14.7% 27.3% 4.0% 40.9% 39.8% 23.4% -5.3% -16.1% -16.09%
Gross Profit 5Y -12.7% 68.7% 49.3% 38.0% 32.8% 32.5% 27.8% 17.5% 17.8% 11.1% 12.1% 12.4% 24.6% 27.3% 25.9% 24.3% 1.2%
Op. Income 3Y 12.0% 11.4% 26.4% 5.1% 9.3% 12.6% 18.9% 38.1% 51.8% 50.2% 27.1% -20.2% -47.3% -47.34%
Op. Income 5Y 68.6% 63.8% 58.4% 53.3% 24.6% 23.6% 13.6% 12.6% 13.4% 30.3% 33.9% 31.8% 30.2% -8.0%
FCF 3Y -14.2% 5.3% 14.7% 22.0% 44.2%
FCF 5Y 55.7% 44.8% 24.8% 31.1% 14.3% 3.2% 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% -5.8% -5.6% -21.0%
OCF 3Y -1.8% -29.4% 2.7% -62.3% -46.2% -43.8% -22.9% 10.1% 15.0% 17.8% 56.4% 59.6% 1.0% 33.5% 2.2% 1.2% 1.0% 52.0% 52.03%
OCF 5Y 55.8% -20.9% -16.4% -18.9% 1.7% 32.7% 28.7% 30.0% 18.1% 10.6% 11.0% 10.8% 10.8% 6.0% 4.1% 4.1% 32.8% 32.77%
Assets 3Y 20.0% 20.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.22%
Assets 5Y 14.4% 14.4% 14.4% 14.4% 17.6% 17.6% 17.6% 17.6% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 10.5% 10.5% 10.51%
Equity 3Y 9.7% 9.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% -14.9% -14.9% -14.9% -14.9% -14.1% -14.1% -14.1% -14.1% -12.4% -12.4% -12.4% -12.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.39%
Book Value 3Y 13.1% 13.8% 4.1% 5.9% 7.6% 7.6% -8.4% -8.0% -7.1% -6.7% -4.1% -4.2% -4.5% -4.3% -2.5% -3.7% -5.3% -6.2% 6.3% 5.9% 5.94%
Dividend 3Y 6.5% 7.2% 5.3% 6.4% 16.0% 15.5% 24.9% 25.1% 16.7% 16.9% 12.5% 12.4% 11.8% 14.2% 12.5% 13.2% 11.3% 7.7% 6.3% 3.6% 3.58%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.68 0.78 0.84 0.81 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.96 0.97 0.90 0.75 0.55 0.68 0.62 0.79 0.71 0.74 0.71 0.54 0.39 0.392
Earnings Stability 0.10 0.18 0.02 0.00 0.20 0.11 0.26 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 0.15 0.35 0.43 0.30 0.31 0.84 0.837
Margin Stability 0.06 0.08 0.34 0.17 0.17 0.21 0.41 0.25 0.24 0.26 0.38 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.33 0.68 0.72 0.81 0.60 0.12 0.117
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.50 0.97 0.969
Earnings Smoothness 0.15 0.65 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.05 0.92 0.921
ROE Trend -0.27 -0.33 -0.25 0.10 -0.05 0.03 -0.21 0.01 0.48 0.43 0.48 0.14 0.01 0.25 0.46 0.39 0.20 -0.13 -0.19 0.15 0.149
Gross Margin Trend -0.28 -0.28 -0.22 0.13 0.12 0.16 0.06 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.24 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.14 0.18 0.15 0.11 -0.21 -0.23 -0.226
FCF Margin Trend -0.20 -0.23 -0.28 -0.03 -0.15 -0.11 -0.09 -0.03 0.20 0.25 0.31 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.03 -0.07 -0.09 -0.14 -0.08 -0.084
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.3% 17.3% 14.8% 20.2% 5.8% 3.7% 30.3% 40.1% 35.3% 34.7% 12.1% 8.4% 32.8% 32.75%
Internal Growth Rate 0.7% 3.8% 3.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.6% 4.9% 6.6% 5.7% 5.6% 1.9% 1.1% 4.6% 4.61%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.61 -0.24 0.16 4.21 -0.14 -1.48 -0.39 -5.45 2.64 3.47 3.65 5.70 6.09 2.01 1.72 2.00 1.77 3.46 4.31 2.08 2.084
FCF/OCF -0.25 -1.45 6.01 0.40 -7.59 -2.04 -1.68 -0.06 0.62 0.67 0.69 0.59 0.53 0.46 0.52 0.51 0.39 0.41 0.16 0.21 0.207
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.431
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.844
CapEx/Revenue 10.3% 9.8% 7.8% 8.6% 7.3% 6.8% 7.3% 8.0% 9.5% 10.0% 10.8% 12.3% 12.2% 14.2% 11.4% 10.9% 11.5% 10.8% 20.5% 22.9% 22.85%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.251
Accruals Ratio -0.10 -0.10 -0.04 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.08 -0.11 -0.12 -0.11 -0.10 -0.06 -0.05 -0.07 -0.05 -0.08 -0.08 -0.06 -0.061
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.133
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.113
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 3.4% 3.8% 2.9% 3.0% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 5.0% 4.7% 3.7% 3.5% 1.9% 1.5% 1.2% 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.58%
Dividend/Share $0.58 $0.59 $0.62 $0.65 $0.86 $0.90 $1.16 $1.17 $1.20 $1.22 $1.32 $1.33 $1.30 $1.39 $1.41 $1.49 $1.48 $1.46 $1.47 $1.45 $0.91
Payout Ratio 60.5% 28.4% 31.7% 31.0% 61.0% 71.0% 24.0% 18.0% 20.8% 21.0% 43.1% 52.8% 22.0% 21.95%
FCF Payout Ratio 35.6% 17.4% 13.7% 12.3% 18.2% 21.9% 25.7% 20.3% 20.5% 30.3% 30.2% 77.8% 51.0% 50.98%
Total Payout Ratio 2.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 2.2% 2.7% 92.8% 65.6% 74.9% 72.6% 1.3% 52.8% 23.5% 23.52%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.36 0.35 0.61 0.60 0.27 0.25 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.09 0.04 0.10 0.10 0.02 0.05 -0.02 -0.016
Buyback Yield 2.1% 2.3% 4.7% 10.2% 16.1% 22.6% 22.4% 17.1% 13.6% 10.1% 9.3% 5.1% 4.4% 3.4% 2.7% 3.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.07%
Net Buyback Yield 2.1% 2.3% 4.7% 10.2% 16.1% 22.6% 22.4% 17.1% 13.6% 10.1% 9.3% 5.1% 4.4% 3.4% 2.7% 3.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.07%
Total Shareholder Return 5.5% 6.0% 7.7% 13.2% 20.1% 27.1% 27.6% 22.2% 18.3% 13.9% 12.8% 7.1% 5.9% 4.6% 3.7% 4.6% 2.6% 2.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1.03%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.78 0.74 1.13 0.73 0.67 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.79 0.75 0.68 0.56 0.71 0.77 0.80 0.85 0.91 0.84 0.81 0.806
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.31 1.23 1.53 0.41 2.05 -1.35 2.21 -0.54 0.70 0.66 0.73 0.58 0.56 0.75 0.76 0.73 0.78 0.60 0.60 1.08 1.080
EBIT Margin -0.13 -0.17 -0.08 0.07 -0.04 0.02 -0.04 0.03 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.13 0.14 0.25 0.24 0.19 0.16 0.10 0.11 0.16 0.159
Asset Turnover 0.46 0.48 0.48 0.51 0.55 0.62 0.57 0.56 0.55 0.53 0.47 0.44 0.46 0.47 0.55 0.62 0.63 0.62 0.42 0.41 0.409
Equity Multiplier 3.17 3.17 3.29 3.29 3.29 3.29 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74 6.44 6.44 6.44 6.44 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 7.43 7.43 7.427
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-3.27 $-4.19 $-2.72 $1.07 $-2.14 $-0.61 $-3.14 $-0.63 $4.24 $3.85 $4.25 $2.17 $1.83 $5.81 $7.83 $7.14 $7.04 $3.39 $2.78 $6.60 $6.60
Book Value/Share $17.18 $17.28 $17.68 $18.36 $19.32 $19.86 $12.53 $12.65 $13.01 $13.17 $15.10 $15.21 $14.98 $15.15 $16.39 $16.39 $16.41 $16.39 $15.04 $15.04 $16.51
Tangible Book/Share $6.86 $6.90 $7.59 $7.89 $8.30 $8.53 $0.92 $0.93 $0.96 $0.97 $2.45 $2.46 $2.43 $2.46 $1.62 $1.62 $1.62 $1.62 $-0.40 $-0.40 $-0.40
Revenue/Share $24.23 $25.42 $28.30 $31.24 $35.24 $40.77 $45.59 $45.52 $45.28 $44.24 $44.22 $41.78 $42.55 $43.99 $57.03 $64.02 $65.75 $64.02 $49.23 $47.71 $47.71
FCF/Share $-0.50 $-1.48 $-2.64 $1.82 $-2.26 $-1.85 $-2.09 $-0.21 $6.92 $8.90 $10.75 $7.28 $5.94 $5.42 $6.93 $7.27 $4.87 $4.84 $1.88 $2.84 $2.84
OCF/Share $1.99 $1.02 $-0.44 $4.51 $0.30 $0.91 $1.24 $3.43 $11.20 $13.34 $15.52 $12.41 $11.15 $11.68 $13.43 $14.27 $12.45 $11.75 $11.98 $13.74 $13.74
Cash/Share $0.83 $0.84 $2.82 $2.93 $3.09 $3.17 $1.16 $1.17 $1.21 $1.22 $9.92 $9.99 $9.84 $9.95 $3.50 $3.50 $3.50 $3.50 $2.40 $2.40 $1.97
EBITDA/Share $0.89 $-0.12 $1.91 $6.85 $3.46 $5.56 $3.39 $6.57 $12.92 $12.50 $13.13 $11.08 $11.69 $17.53 $21.16 $20.65 $19.54 $15.14 $14.38 $16.29 $16.29
Debt/Share $20.28 $20.40 $23.47 $24.38 $25.65 $26.37 $34.08 $34.41 $35.39 $35.84 $41.78 $42.08 $41.44 $41.93 $51.11 $51.10 $51.16 $51.10 $60.02 $60.02 $60.02
Net Debt/Share $19.45 $19.56 $20.64 $21.44 $22.56 $23.20 $32.92 $33.24 $34.19 $34.61 $31.86 $32.09 $31.61 $31.98 $47.61 $47.60 $47.66 $47.60 $57.62 $57.62 $57.62
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.359
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.471
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 6 9 7 8 6 6 8 7 8 7 6 7 8 8 7 6 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.84 -2.85 -2.46 -5.04 -2.06 -2.23 -8.26 -2.82 -3.06 -3.03 -3.89 -0.48 -3.04 -2.95 -2.21 -2.64 -2.36 -2.36 -2.44 -2.34 -2.339
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.136
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-80.23
EVA snapshot only $-2197947858.94
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 16.19 27.92 18.57 39.99 20.18 25.95 14.97 20.08 44.02 42.32 45.67 40.85 46.23 50.96 49.74 48.91 54.94 45.50 29.20 37.22 37.219
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -11.689
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 44
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 41

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms