VST NYSE
Vistra Corp.
1W: -2.4%
1M: +6.3%
3M: +2.7%
YTD: -11.2%
1Y: -27.2%
3Y: +368.5%
5Y: +727.3%
$146.66
+4.93 (+3.48%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.9%
$112
$126
$140
$154
$168
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 63% of companies Debt: 28.8% of company value Bonds: $1.54B held by 908 funds, 118 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $6.02 (down 96%), Vistra Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $19.89B against a stock market value of $49.22B.
Distance to default 3.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $11.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z'' 0.80. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $6.02 (down 96%), Vistra Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $19.89B against a stock market value of $49.22B.
Distance to default 3.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $11.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z'' 0.80. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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📊 Key Metrics
TTM$16B
Revenue
-28.4% YoY
$2B
Net Income
-7.1% YoY
$1B
Free Cash Flow
-16.8% YoY
34.6%
Gross Margin
13.8%
Op. Margin
7.6%
Net Margin
💰 Income Flow
How revenue becomes profit💵 Cash Flow
Where cash goes🏦 Balance Sheet
Assets = Liabilities + Equity📈 Financial Health
Profitability
ROE43.1%
ROA5.5%
ROIC1.2%
Valuation
P/E24.4
P/B9.0
EV/EBITDA11.0
Leverage
Debt/Equity3.63
Current Ratio0.97
Interest Cov.3.4x
Quality Scores
Piotroski F7/9
Altman Z1.57
Beneish M-2.95