VST NYSE
Vistra Corp.
1W: -2.4%
1M: +6.3%
3M: +2.7%
YTD: -11.2%
1Y: -27.2%
3Y: +368.5%
5Y: +727.3%
$146.66
+4.93 (+3.48%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.9%
$112
$126
$140
$154
$168
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 63% of companies Debt: 28.8% of company value Bonds: $1.54B held by 908 funds, 118 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $6.02 (down 96%), Vistra Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $19.89B against a stock market value of $49.22B.
Distance to default 3.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $11.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z'' 0.80. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $6.02 (down 96%), Vistra Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $19.89B against a stock market value of $49.22B.
Distance to default 3.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $11.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z'' 0.80. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Revenue by Segment (5-Year Trend)
Income Trends
Revenue
$17.0B
-12.4% ▼
5Y CAGR: +8.9%
Gross Profit
$3.0B
-61.3% ▼
5Y CAGR: +3.5%
Operating Income
$1.3B
-78.6% ▼
5Y CAGR: -2.1%
Net Income
$944M
-64.5% ▼
5Y CAGR: +8.2%
EPS (Diluted)
$2.21
-68.4% ▼
5Y CAGR: +11.2%
EBITDA
$5.3B
-27.0% ▼
5Y CAGR: +10.7%
Profit Margins
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Income Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.3B | $17.8B | $15.5B | $19.4B | $17.0B |
| YoY Growth | +20.5% | +33.8% | -12.9% | +24.7% | -12.4% |
| Cost of Revenue | $13.3B | $14.0B | $10.4B | $11.7B | $14.0B |
| Gross Profit | $60M | $3.8B | $5.2B | $7.7B | $3.0B |
| Gross Margin | 0.5% | 21.4% | 33.3% | 39.7% | 17.5% |
| R&D Expenses | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| SG&A Expenses | $1.0B | $1.2B | $1.3B | $1.5B | $1.6B |
| Operating Expenses | $1.0B | $1.2B | $1.3B | $1.5B | $1.6B |
| Operating Income | -$988M | $2.6B | $3.9B | $6.2B | $1.3B |
| Operating Margin | -7.4% | 14.8% | 25.2% | 32.1% | 7.9% |
| Interest Expense | $598M | $853M | $749M | $1.1B | $1.2B |
| Income Before Tax | -$1.7B | -$1.6B | $2.0B | $3.5B | $1.1B |
| Tax Expense | -$458M | -$350M | $508M | $655M | $179M |
| Net Income | -$1.3B | -$1.2B | $1.5B | $2.7B | $944M |
| Net Margin | -9.6% | -6.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 5.6% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-2.62 | $-2.86 | $3.58 | $7.00 | $2.21 |
| EBITDA | $852M | $1.3B | $4.6B | $7.2B | $5.3B |
| Shares Outstanding | 482M | 422M | 375M | 353M | 340M |