VST NYSE
Vistra Corp.
1W: -2.4%
1M: +6.3%
3M: +2.7%
YTD: -11.2%
1Y: -27.2%
3Y: +368.5%
5Y: +727.3%
$146.66
+4.93 (+3.48%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.9%
$112
$126
$140
$154
$168
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 63% of companies Debt: 28.8% of company value Bonds: $1.54B held by 908 funds, 118 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $6.02 (down 96%), Vistra Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $19.89B against a stock market value of $49.22B.
Distance to default 3.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $11.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z'' 0.80. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $6.02 (down 96%), Vistra Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $19.89B against a stock market value of $49.22B.
Distance to default 3.96 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $11.04B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z'' 0.80. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BEARISH
-35
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
33
Momentum (25%)
20
Volume (20%)
50
Volatility (10%)
0
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$150.59
Price vs SMA 50$145.03
Price vs SMA 200$154.03
EMA 9/21 Cross147.19/148.29
SMA 50/200 CrossDeath
ADX DirectionADX 15
Supertrend$139.56
Parabolic SAR$162.04
SMA Slope0.290
RSI48.7
Stochastic K/D21/20
Williams %R-68
CCI-42
TSI vs Signal-0.3
CMO-2.5
ROC-9.66%
OBV SignalAccum
Chaikin MF0.160
MFI34
Force Index-10.6M
Elder Ray Bull-0.84
VST is trading above its 50-day but below its 20-day and 200-day moving averages, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA (death cross active). RSI at 49 is neutral. Volume analysis shows OBV is rising (accumulation) with Chaikin Money Flow positive at 0.160. The squeeze is off with negative momentum, suggesting downward pressure. ADX at 15 suggests the market is range-bound. Price is 28.0% below its 52-week high. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $150.59 | $3.91 | -2.60% | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $145.03 | +$1.65 | +1.14% | Bullish |
| SMA 200 | $154.03 | $7.35 | -4.77% | Bearish |
| EMA 9 | $147.19 | $0.51 | -0.35% | Bearish |
| EMA 21 | $148.29 | $1.61 | -1.09% | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | $147.72 | $1.04 | -0.70% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $155.41 | $8.73 | -5.62% | Bearish |
| VWMA 20 | $151.23 | $4.55 | -3.01% | Bearish |
| WMA 20 | $150.19 | $3.51 | -2.34% | Bearish |
| DEMA 21 | $148.85 | $2.17 | -1.46% | Bearish |
| TEMA 21 | $147.67 | $0.99 | -0.67% | Bearish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Accumulation
OBV: Accumulation
CMF: Buying Pressure
Volatility & Range
52-Week
28.0% from high
20-Day
13.1% from high
Bollinger
39th pctile
Donchian
37th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $146.16
Turtle Short Stop: $156.03
S2
$136.99
S1
$139.36
Pivot
$141.44
R1
$143.81
R2
$145.89
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
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Bullish Engulfing
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Hammer
—
Inverted Hammer
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Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji