AA NYSE
Alcoa Corporation
1W: -1.8%
1M: -5.5%
3M: -6.7%
YTD: -29.4%
1Y: +1.6%
3Y: +71.2%
5Y: -22.1%
$39.93
+1.33 (+3.45%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.3%
$35
$36
$38
$40
$41
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 31.4% of company value Bonds: $294.9M held by 181 funds, 160 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.74 (down 96%), Alcoa Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.82B against a stock market value of $10.54B.
Distance to default 3.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $2.41B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 53.2%; Altman Z 1.88. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.74 (down 96%), Alcoa Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.82B against a stock market value of $10.54B.
Distance to default 3.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $2.41B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 53.2%; Altman Z 1.88. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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0.90
Bullish
1 bullish
0 neutral
0 bearish
Articles (24h)
1
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0.15
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2 bullish
3 neutral
1 bearish
Articles (7d)
6
Daily Sentiment (7 Days)
Articles (100)
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Alcoa Q2 2026 Earnings Preview
Alcoa approves development of Australia gallium project with U.S., Japan, Australia backing
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Alcoa to buy aluminum assets from South32 in deal valued up to $5.6B
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