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Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: AAI.AX (ASX) · $vol 13M · 0HCB.L (LSE) · $vol 0M · 185.DE (XETRA) · $vol 0M

AA NYSE

Alcoa Corporation
1W: -1.8% 1M: -5.5% 3M: -6.7% YTD: -29.4% 1Y: +1.6% 3Y: +71.2% 5Y: -22.1%
$39.93
+1.33 (+3.45%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.3%
$35 $36 $38 $40 $41
NYSE · Basic Materials · Aluminum · Tech Score Sell · Power 39 · $10.5B mcap · 263M float · 1.98% daily turnover · Short 42% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 31.4% of company value Bonds: $294.9M held by 181 funds, 160 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.74 (down 96%), Alcoa Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.82B against a stock market value of $10.54B.
Distance to default 3.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $2.41B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 53.2%; Altman Z 1.88. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
#1 of 7
Aluminum
Basic Materials · Large Cap · 3 peers
Market Share
37.4%
Top 4 Concentration: 91.8%

Technical Signal Map

0 Bullish
0 Neutral
4 Bearish

Peer Comparison

Symbol Mkt Cap P/E ROE % ROIC % Net Mgn % Rev Grw % Piotroski Signal 1Y Ret %
AA Alcoa Corporation $10B 6.8 20.9 17.4 13.0 7.9 6 BEARISH 1.6
NHYKF Norsk Hydro ASA $14B 10.4 12.3 19.7 10.2 -4.8 7 BEARISH 8.8
ALMMF Aluminum Corporation of China Limited $14B 8.6 26.5 41.8 9.5 27.0 7 BEARISH -25.3
CHHQY China Hongqiao Group Limited $23B 6.1 22.4 22.6 19.7 36.8 8 BEARISH -29.6

Profile Radar

Valuation vs Profitability

Performance Comparison

Industry Market Share

AA vs Benchmarks

ROIC
AA
17.4
Industry
14.9
Gross Margin
AA
23.8
Industry
23.0
Op Margin
AA
15.7
Industry
7.7
Net Margin
AA
13.0
Industry
9.5
Sector
14.1
Revenue Growth
AA
7.9
Sector
5.0
P/E Ratio
AA
6.8
Sector
30.3
ROE
AA
20.9
Sector
13.1
Piotroski F
AA
6.0
Sector
7.0

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms