AA Smart Money
Alcoa Corporation
1W: -1.8%
1M: -5.5%
3M: -6.7%
YTD: -29.4%
1Y: +1.6%
3Y: +71.2%
5Y: -22.1%
$39.93
+1.33 (+3.45%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.3%
$35
$36
$38
$40
$41
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 31.4% of company value Bonds: $294.9M held by 181 funds, 160 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.74 (down 96%), Alcoa Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.82B against a stock market value of $10.54B.
Distance to default 3.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $2.41B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 53.2%; Altman Z 1.88. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.74 (down 96%), Alcoa Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.82B against a stock market value of $10.54B.
Distance to default 3.71 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $2.41B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 53.2%; Altman Z 1.88. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026866
Institutions Holding
+27 vs prior
101.3%
Ownership
-22.41%
101
New
257
Increased
391
Reduced
141
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Hastings Andrew | officer: evp & gen. counsel | A-Grant/Award | 2,638 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-15 | Hastings Andrew | officer: evp & gen. counsel | F-Tax Withholding | 2,525 | $46.52 | $117K | Filing |
| 2026-09-15 | Hastings Andrew | officer: evp & gen. counsel | F-Tax Withholding | 1,200 | $46.52 | $56K | Filing |
| 2026-08-31 | Bacchi Renato | officer: evp & chief commercial officer | S-Sale | 700 | $51.02 | $36K | Filing |
| 2026-08-27 | Jones Tammi A | officer: evp & chro | S-Sale | 15,628 | $50.60 | $791K | Filing |
| 2026-08-17 | Hastings Andrew | officer: evp & gen. counsel | S-Sale | 6,000 | $50.90 | $305K | Filing |
| 2026-07-22 | Reed Matthew T | officer: evp, chief operations officer | S-Sale | 4,600 | $46.82 | $215K | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | Field Alistair | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | Bevan John A | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | Citrino Mary Anne | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | Fiore Pasquale | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | Galovich Brian | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | Gorman Thomas Joseph | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | HUGHES JAMES ALTON | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | de Oliveira Marques Roberto | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | Roberts Carol L | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | Roberts Jackson Prince | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,532 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-15 | Olson Emily M. | officer: evp & chief ext. aff. officer | A-Grant/Award | 8,760 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Jones Tammi A | officer: evp & chro | F-Tax Withholding | 762 | $59.81 | $46K | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Jones Tammi A | officer: evp & chro | F-Tax Withholding | 2,059 | $59.81 | $123K | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Jones Tammi A | officer: evp & chro | A-Grant/Award | 1,463 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Jones Tammi A | officer: evp & chro | F-Tax Withholding | 41 | $59.81 | $2K | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Jones Tammi A | officer: evp & chro | A-Grant/Award | 77 | $59.81 | $5K | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Jones Tammi A | officer: evp & chro | A-Grant/Award | 3,884 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-23 | Bacchi Renato | officer: evp & chief commercial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 2,113 | $59.81 | $126K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
25 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | Michael McCaul | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-01-13 | Michael T. McCaul | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-01-09 | Michael McCaul | House | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2025-01-09 | Michael T. McCaul | House | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2024-11-19 | Michael McCaul | House | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2024-10-23 | Julia Letlow | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2024-10-23 | Julia Letlow | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2024-06-27 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2024-06-27 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2024-06-05 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2024-06-05 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2024-05-16 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2024-05-16 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2023-05-19 | Ro Khanna | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-11-03 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-09-28 | Virginia Foxx | House | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2022-09-01 | Virginia Foxx | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-08-31 | Virginia Foxx | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-08-30 | Virginia Foxx | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-08-22 | Virginia Foxx | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-08-19 | Virginia Foxx | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-08-04 | Virginia Foxx | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-08-02 | Virginia Foxx | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2021-10-18 | Tommy Tuberville | Senate | Sell | $100,001 - $250,000 | Filing |
| 2021-10-18 | Tommy Tuberville | Senate | Sell | $100,001 - $250,000 | Filing |
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 29,315,742 | $1.5B | +923,109 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 16,996,106 | $886M | +4,143,328 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 12,995,948 | $678M | +351,013 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 11,926,055 | $622M | +149,405 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 11,879,807 | $619M | -2,217,555 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 10,875,945 | $567M | -5,592 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 5,845,931 | $305M | -2,779,366 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 5,829,945 | $304M | -112,856 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 4,086,691 | $213M | -1,084,958 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 3,588,651 | $187M | -507,159 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. | 3,585,857 | $187M | -25,303 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 3,187,461 | $166M | +47,294 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Qube Research & Technologies Ltd | 2,765,352 | $144M | +1,375,948 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 2,525,533 | $132M | +305,866 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 2,333,811 | $122M | +2,049,217 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Invesco Ltd. | 2,147,869 | $112M | -1,480,896 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 2,018,371 | $109M | -997,784 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 2,081,181 | $109M | -23,467 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Sixth Street Partners Management Company | 2,081,181 | $109M | +2,081,181 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. | 2,071,392 | $108M | +161,969 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |