AA Short Interest
Alcoa Corporation
1W: -7.2%
1M: -9.7%
3M: -12.6%
YTD: -31.6%
1Y: -3.4%
3Y: +64.3%
5Y: -29.2%
$39.87
+1.26 (+3.28%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.3%
$35
$36
$38
$40
$41
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 67% of companies Debt: 32.1% of company value Bonds: $294.9M held by 181 funds, 160 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.73 (down 96%), Alcoa Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.82B against a stock market value of $10.21B.
Distance to default 3.68 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $2.41B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 53.2%; Altman Z 1.86. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.73 (down 96%), Alcoa Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.82B against a stock market value of $10.21B.
Distance to default 3.68 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $2.41B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 53.2%; Altman Z 1.86. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Short Volume Summary
2026-10-2654.1%
Short Ratio
of total volume
44.1%
20-Day Avg
45.3%
50-Day Avg
▲ Rising
5-Day Trend
0.8M
Short Volume
1.6M
Total Volume
Daily Short Volume Ratio
Short Volume vs Total Volume
Exchange Breakdown
2026-10-26| Exchange | Short Volume | Total Volume | Short % |
|---|---|---|---|
| NASDAQ | 784,415 | 1,475,222 | 53.2% |
| NYSE | 53,732 | 75,009 | 71.6% |
| BATS | 8,436 | 14,814 | 56.9% |